PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Esgh777

0x2bf06b082685f0b389ef16525716e9b2e18de53b

Realised P&L
$-47.86
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$31.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.120$10.34$14.66
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0180.024$6.55+$1.55
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0220.018$4.19$0.81
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1200.091$3.80$1.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.042$3.32$11.68
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0530.041$2.29$0.71
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0590.009$0.57$3.42
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.3630.000$0.00$18.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.3210.000$0.00$14.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.3570.000$0.00$9.88
Will Trump post "Jake Paul" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$9.00
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.4180.000$0.00$37.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 22:19Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?BUY0.1733502831$15.00
05-13 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.0699999874$5.00
05-13 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.7928563642$100.00
05-13 22:09Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
05-13 22:09Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
03-19 01:02Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?BUY0.789999997$32.00
03-19 01:02Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.3899999888$15.00
03-19 01:00Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSELL0.99$47.77
03-19 00:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.5099999988$24.22
03-19 00:55Will Trump post "Jake Paul" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.2799999788$9.00
03-19 00:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22?BUY0.256916964$5.00
03-19 00:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 19?BUY0.4235214187$5.00
03-19 00:51Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.059127864$4.00
03-19 00:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.6099999949$29.15
03-19 00:39Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?BUY0.0531044329$3.00