tavaloa
0x2bef048d8397093656907a6ed478205ad0b5ffd3
- Realised P&L
- $-300.37
- Volume
- $34.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,258
- Open portfolio
- $25.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,258
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.74at 0.225Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$40.13at 0.431Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Anton Matusevich vs Rei Sakamoto
- +$32.82at 0.416Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuel
- +$31.83at 0.182Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$29.34at 0.327Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:16 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 10-02 19:42 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.4599998811 | $1.47 |
| 10-02 19:40 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | SELL | 0.956 | $1.91 |
| 10-02 11:53 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | BUY | 0.9829999975 | $1.98 |
| 10-02 11:50 | LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.993 | $1.99 |
| 10-02 11:26 | LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999607 | $1.08 |
| 10-02 11:10 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 10-02 06:42 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.549999807 | $1.14 |
| 10-02 06:38 | Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 10-01 01:37 | Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999851 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 00:58 | Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.3599999621 | $1.14 |
| 09-30 23:57 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 20:41 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 09-29 18:37 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.011 | $0.03 |
| 09-29 18:28 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5399997975 | $1.12 |