pokimanee
0x2bead482f7515b74d09c8a6ad50aeca4308195f4
- Realised P&L
- $-52.10
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $4.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.94at 0.340Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$1.17at 0.460Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$0.81at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$0.00at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$0.00at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 20:30 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.3919999321 | $3.00 |
| 05-15 20:30 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.599999985 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 23:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:38 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:36 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0523352893 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:36 | Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:35 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:34 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:32 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:31 | Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:30 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0124309516 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 23:27 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |