asdssss
0x2be61c1adfa360aba1a144ec3a6bcdd94ab9e054
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $1.96M
- Markets traded
- 6,747
- Open portfolio
- $9.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,747
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.04at 0.055Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$43.56at 0.058Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
- +$42.34at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 9?
- +$41.65at 0.013Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$38.58at 0.012Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:26 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.133 | $0.13 |
| 08-06 15:14 | Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.02 |
| 08-05 16:35 | Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 08-05 08:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 04:01 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.114 | $0.11 |
| 08-05 04:00 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.105 | $0.10 |
| 08-05 02:32 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.568 | $0.85 |
| 08-05 01:22 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 16:50 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 14:17 | Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.07 |
| 08-03 10:18 | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |
| 08-03 09:16 | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.19 |
| 08-03 06:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.28 |