itaidddd
0x2be4178f969f41090b3997c8e7c1761eaa78a8e1
- Realised P&L
- $-51.53
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $15.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? · No | 0.480 | 0.485 | $15.04 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.17at 0.510Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?
- +$12.85at 0.540Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?
- +$12.68at 0.659Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 27?
- +$12.64at 0.547Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?
- +$12.36at 0.557Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.88 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.85 |
| 09-17 01:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 21:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.45 | $14.85 |
| 07-09 15:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 07-08 06:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 07-04 17:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 07-04 01:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.60 |
| 07-03 20:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.53 |
| 07-03 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4? | BUY | 0.4499999689 | $5.06 |
| 07-03 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.06 |
| 07-02 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 07-02 03:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.92 |
| 07-02 02:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 07-02 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $6.58 |