PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2bE15fDBdfd244A4D204Cb5B6243396f064eDEBd-1765612420250

0x2be15fdbdfd244a4d204cb5b6243396f064edebd

Realised P&L
$232.79
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
320
Open portfolio
$17.05

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded320
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.1920.270$7.05+$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.5000.380$5.32$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.2160.130$1.80$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.1380.050$1.45$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.6500.915$1.41+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19? · Yes0.0350.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 15? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 12? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 5? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 8? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 16? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-18 16:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?BUY0.0355871886$1.00
09-18 16:15Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.05$1.00
09-18 16:03Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.1382716022$4.00
09-18 16:03Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.29$4.50
09-18 12:18Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.2163934327$3.00
09-18 12:18Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.5$7.00
09-18 12:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.3218318981$5.00
09-18 12:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.1915708812$5.00
09-16 23:42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-16 23:42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-16 16:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.1299999948$2.00
09-16 16:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.5$8.00
09-15 06:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.4899999755$7.00
09-15 06:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.15$3.00