PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2be04e5cef19bfdbc354c334cd38bbce0c726dee

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$276.3k
Markets traded
2,529
Open portfolio
$173.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,529
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.9641.000$5.01+$0.18
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.9951.000$5.01+$0.03
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.9791.000$5.01+$0.11
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.9981.000$5.01+$0.01
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No0.9930.999$5.00+$0.03
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No0.9830.999$5.00+$0.08
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.9980.995$4.98$0.01
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9840.994$4.98+$0.05
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · No0.9870.992$4.97+$0.02
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9910.991$4.96$0.00
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.9990.990$4.96$0.04
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.9990.989$4.95$0.05
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · No0.9600.980$4.95+$0.10
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · No0.9640.986$4.94+$0.11
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.93$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 15:50Quito: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Sebastian OsorioBUY0.149999976$5.00
07-03 15:46Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo PachecoBUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-03 14:58Troyes: Marvin Moeller vs Marat SharipovBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-03 14:31Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden ShickBUY0.2$5.00
07-03 14:13Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel RinconBUY0.209999974$5.00
07-03 13:37Troyes: Marvin Moeller vs Marat SharipovBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-03 13:22Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke WatanukiBUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-03 12:47Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel RinconBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-03 11:46Milan: Pierluigi Basile vs Marco CecchinatoBUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-03 11:45Troyes: Kilian Feldbausch vs Inaki MontesBUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-03 10:40Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesBUY0.1809523575$5.00
07-03 10:11Brasov: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Maks KasnikowskiBUY0.2$5.00
07-03 09:43Brasov: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Zsombor PirosBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-03 09:43Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Juan MartinBUY0.1799999755$5.00
07-03 08:50Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesBUY0.2399999674$5.00