PolyBot

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Traders

sagarana

0x2be004d6d3ee2be9e2310f380778745ece1d68ad

Realised P&L
$206.42
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$33.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes0.3660.369$14.78+$0.14
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.1000.051$10.30$9.70
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1590.055$3.47$6.53
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0560.004$2.45$37.05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0800.003$2.33$72.15
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1130.001$0.10$22.50
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$54.03
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.5500.000$0.00$11.00
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? · No0.6780.000$0.00$200.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$6.60
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00$34.71
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$11.60
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.40
Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzak · Felix Gill0.1500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 21:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.327$32.74
07-03 12:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$19.30
07-03 12:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.332$33.20
06-30 21:21Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?SELL0.19$9.50
06-30 18:34Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?SELL0.54$16.20
06-30 16:28Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.16$8.00
06-29 21:44Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.23$23.00
06-29 17:32Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.39$20.53
06-29 13:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-29 11:02Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999954$15.00
06-29 10:59Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?SELL0.009$0.72
06-17 12:19Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.245$49.00
06-14 21:50Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.063$2.52
06-14 00:06Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2153016868$32.29
06-13 22:36Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.049$4.90