sagarana
0x2be004d6d3ee2be9e2310f380778745ece1d68ad
- Realised P&L
- $206.42
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $33.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$556.19at 0.170Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$84.80at 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.27at 0.204Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$39.00at 0.220Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$35.96at 0.060Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 21:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.327 | $32.74 |
| 07-03 12:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $19.30 |
| 07-03 12:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.332 | $33.20 |
| 06-30 21:21 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 06-30 18:34 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 06-30 16:28 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 06-29 21:44 | Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 06-29 17:32 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.39 | $20.53 |
| 06-29 13:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 11:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 10:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.72 |
| 06-17 12:19 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.245 | $49.00 |
| 06-14 21:50 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.063 | $2.52 |
| 06-14 00:06 | Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2153016868 | $32.29 |
| 06-13 22:36 | Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.90 |