0x2bddefe825f5a77a630df20d0db03b370b3caaa8
0x2bddefe825f5a77a630df20d0db03b370b3caaa8
- Realised P&L
- $-222.14
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $22.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.999 | $13.08 | +$3.65 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.970 | $9.43 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.78at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$79.09at 0.637Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
- +$73.30at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$71.69at 0.204Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?
- +$44.71at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.969999999 | $9.43 |
| 10-09 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7199999908 | $9.43 |
| 09-18 22:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.73 |
| 09-18 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.56 |
| 09-14 23:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.11349853 | $2.70 |
| 09-14 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.30280014 | $8.65 |
| 09-14 03:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3383333333 | $6.09 |
| 09-13 16:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-12 16:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.3799999952 | $4.71 |
| 09-12 00:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.13 |
| 09-11 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-10 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 21:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.69 |
| 09-09 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.4981698456 | $10.97 |