PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2bddefe825f5a77a630df20d0db03b370b3caaa8

0x2bddefe825f5a77a630df20d0db03b370b3caaa8

Realised P&L
$-222.14
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$22.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · Yes0.7200.999$13.08+$3.65
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? · Yes0.9700.970$9.43+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 20:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.969999999$9.43
10-09 04:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.7199999908$9.43
09-18 22:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?SELL0.03$0.73
09-18 07:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?SELL0.023$0.56
09-14 23:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15?SELL0.11349853$2.70
09-14 03:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?SELL0.30280014$8.65
09-14 03:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 02:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?BUY0.3383333333$6.09
09-13 16:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?BUY0.59$2.95
09-12 16:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 13?BUY0.3799999952$4.71
09-12 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?SELL0.08$1.13
09-11 05:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?SELL0.001$0.02
09-10 13:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11?BUY0.33$5.00
09-09 21:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10?SELL0.05$0.69
09-09 04:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?SELL0.4981698456$10.97