Rashyjonas
0x2bda98322527f7b94e9f076ae94f373ae0287258
- Realised P&L
- $374.37
- Volume
- $83.1k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $0.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$501.99at 0.019Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?
- +$220.35at 0.019Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 31?
- +$58.10at 0.121Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
- +$41.10at 0.422Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$29.21at 0.088Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 10-08 08:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 09-22 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.318775507 | $2.84 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.10 |
| 07-21 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.0129999902 | $1.32 |
| 07-21 15:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.069999958 | $1.50 |
| 07-21 07:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.42 |
| 07-21 07:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.31 |
| 07-20 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.0289999851 | $1.84 |
| 07-20 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.0699999619 | $1.60 |
| 07-14 17:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.0699999463 | $1.20 |
| 07-14 16:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |