PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rashyjonas

0x2bda98322527f7b94e9f076ae94f373ae0287258

Realised P&L
$374.37
Volume
$83.1k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$0.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0270.011$0.42−$0.66
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0060.004$0.30−$0.15
Will Solana reach $130 in April? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$1.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$0.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15? · No0.0160.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$9.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 11? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$10.58
Will Solana reach $100 in May? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16? · No0.0810.000$0.00−$5.78
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 11? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$1.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:18Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8?BUY0.027$1.08
10-08 08:46Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 8?BUY0.006$0.03
09-22 11:43Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.318775507$2.84
09-22 11:24Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-31 12:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 31?BUY0.03$2.10
07-21 15:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?BUY0.0129999902$1.32
07-21 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?BUY0.069999958$1.50
07-21 07:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?BUY0.08$1.42
07-21 07:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?BUY0.018$1.31
07-20 16:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?BUY0.0289999851$1.84
07-20 16:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-15 06:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?BUY0.005$1.00
07-15 06:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?BUY0.0699999619$1.60
07-14 17:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?BUY0.0699999463$1.20
07-14 16:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?BUY0.0599999724$2.00