nesmotri
0x2bd542f9f7883eef3fd79e87055340119eabe111
- Realised P&L
- $-11.10
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $216.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $216.00 | −$72.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.00at 0.600Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$86.90at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$-31.20at 0.008Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
- +$-114.80at 0.530Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 15:38 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $288.00 |
| 04-17 13:25 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | SELL | 0.12 | $33.60 |