0x2bbc1bb2dca03a3bc0e8922de560ae37f83074a0
0x2bbc1bb2dca03a3bc0e8922de560ae37f83074a0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.77
- Volume
- $404.15
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.465Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$1.36at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$1.25at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$1.19at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.10at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:47 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.20 |
| 10-09 00:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $0.64 |
| 10-09 00:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $0.42 |
| 10-08 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.35 |