PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marcusfsza

0x2bb9722129861d2d75156aa86830fde8e57bce8f

Realised P&L
$-938.10
Volume
$116.0k
Markets traded
5,140
Open portfolio
$123.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,140
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? · No0.3000.940$28.20+$19.20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17? · Yes0.1100.410$9.43+$6.90
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 17? · No0.7600.700$7.00$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? · Yes0.2300.595$6.54+$4.01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? · No0.6200.650$6.50+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 18? · No0.6100.645$6.45+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? · Yes0.4501.000$6.00+$3.30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 17? · No0.6800.520$5.20$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? · No0.7000.955$4.78+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? · No0.7100.785$3.92+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? · No0.6900.800$3.83+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? · No0.6700.655$3.27$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? · No0.5900.245$3.19$4.48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? · Yes0.4500.520$3.12+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · No0.6400.605$3.02$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.67$3.35
09-17 06:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.64$3.20
09-16 16:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?BUY0.59$7.67
09-16 10:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.71$3.55
09-16 10:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.63$3.15
09-15 21:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?BUY0.58$12.18
09-15 14:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.7$3.50
09-15 14:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.52$2.60
09-15 03:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.61$7.93
09-15 00:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.72$3.60
09-15 00:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.47$2.35
09-14 05:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 14?SELL0.98$4.90
09-14 04:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.64$12.80
09-13 15:00Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 13?SELL0.98$4.90
09-13 07:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13?SELL0.98$4.90