marcusfsza
0x2bb9722129861d2d75156aa86830fde8e57bce8f
- Realised P&L
- $-938.10
- Volume
- $116.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,140
- Open portfolio
- $123.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,140
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.61at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 11?
- +$66.66at 0.234Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?
- +$65.00at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?
- +$63.35at 0.272Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?
- +$62.16at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-17 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.59 | $7.67 |
| 09-16 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-16 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.58 | $12.18 |
| 09-15 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-15 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 03:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $7.93 |
| 09-15 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-14 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-14 04:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-13 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |