zelenjava
0x2bb801202571cf17a4128dffbcb96360b270f2cf
- Realised P&L
- $-468.32
- Volume
- $62.9k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.77at 0.597Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$132.94at 0.220Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$101.72at 0.756Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$72.67at 0.800US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$59.05at 0.915Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9849104046 | $89.59 |
| 11-01 23:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.983030396 | $32.37 |
| 11-01 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9854567583 | $99.97 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9837216251 | $26.37 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.9895435919 | $99.95 |
| 11-01 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $99.97 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.75 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.75 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $99.97 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9863249734 | $99.97 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.9882045223 | $99.95 |
| 11-01 18:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9831271801 | $31.37 |
| 11-01 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.985 | $99.97 |
| 11-01 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9802931182 | $99.75 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.9816890449 | $99.97 |