51dgfd
0x2baff2b50f9a9f398fccdf56c10f4c3d927a70ad
- Realised P&L
- $94.46
- Volume
- $198.5k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $147.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.60at 0.012Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
- +$7.43at 0.280Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
- +$6.64at 0.099U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- +$5.36at 0.708Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.03at 0.054Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:38 | Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.05 |
| 10-17 12:52 | Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.14 |
| 08-30 19:09 | Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-27 04:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 08-27 00:44 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 08-26 20:43 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.52 |
| 08-26 20:39 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.95 |
| 08-20 11:35 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.72 |
| 08-14 21:22 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.70 |
| 08-14 18:50 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.89 |
| 08-14 02:58 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.40 |
| 08-13 19:58 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.12 |
| 08-13 13:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.26 |
| 08-13 10:22 | Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 08-13 09:54 | Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |