PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JackStraw

0x2bae96f2e37f5474016f754c0ade0f6012892e92

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$198.5k
Markets traded
423
Open portfolio
$639.38

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded423
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5101.000$261.39+$128.01
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.6300.605$181.50$7.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3770.205$61.50$51.50
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2300.210$52.50$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8200.875$43.75+$2.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6800.775$38.74+$4.75
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6470.000$0.00$388.00
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.6660.000$0.00$133.20
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.6370.000$0.00$382.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 15:58US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.63$189.00
06-14 14:35US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5$500.00
06-14 14:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.66$330.00
06-14 14:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.6$110.78
06-14 14:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.51$133.38
05-17 22:50Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.47$47.00
05-17 00:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.72$144.00
05-11 20:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.81$187.71
05-11 20:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.992$496.00
05-01 00:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.8$15.20
04-29 14:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.65$260.00
04-29 14:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.85$425.00
04-29 14:03US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.58$58.00
04-29 14:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.71$497.00
04-29 13:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.9928549836$1.2k
Trader JackStraw · PolyBot