PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

JackStraw

0x2bae96f2e37f5474016f754c0ade0f6012892e92

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$199.6k
Markets traded
428
Open portfolio
$282.33

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded428
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.7290.825$66.25+$7.74
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4700.595$59.50+$12.50
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4800.255$51.00$45.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6800.992$49.59+$15.60
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2300.125$31.25$26.25
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.4300.495$24.74+$3.25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$15.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6470.000$0.00$388.00
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.6660.000$0.00$133.20
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.6370.000$0.00$382.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 01:31Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.31$15.50
08-24 01:27Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.5$50.00
08-16 02:13Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.74$48.10
08-16 02:05US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.15$45.00
08-10 01:002026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.47$47.00
07-03 15:58US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.63$189.00
06-14 14:35US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5$500.00
06-14 14:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.66$330.00
06-14 14:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.6$110.78
06-14 14:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.51$133.38
05-17 22:50Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.47$47.00
05-17 00:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.72$144.00
05-11 20:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.81$187.71
05-11 20:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.992$496.00
05-01 00:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.8$15.20