clarkveronica
0x2ba87644f22143b6f9c8dc5d06d0ecab36e81c0b
- Realised P&L
- $22.99
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $105.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.690 | 1.000 | $39.04 | +$12.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 28? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $35.07 | +$5.61 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.941 | $30.94 | +$3.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.02at 0.981Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.78at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.42at 0.987Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.23at 0.988Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.17at 0.989Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:52 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.78 |
| 01-30 17:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.32 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.31 |
| 01-30 12:34 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $63.50 |
| 12-30 14:21 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.84 |
| 12-30 12:12 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999382 | $13.76 |
| 12-29 19:30 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999542 | $14.33 |
| 12-29 19:08 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999789 | $23.18 |
| 12-29 18:17 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $47.94 |
| 10-30 19:33 | Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.74 |
| 10-30 19:14 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.12 |
| 10-30 17:24 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.22 |
| 09-29 15:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.67 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.22 |
| 09-29 05:50 | Will Solana reach $350 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.70 |