PolyBot

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Traders

Gloomy-Refusal

0x2ba69bde721522051631db175dc0fc764ebbe614

Realised P&L
$270.15
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$69.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.105$29.04−$18.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0860.021$10.31−$32.74
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2410.089$8.95−$15.20
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0980.079$8.69−$2.11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1190.060$6.66−$6.44
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.165$3.30+$1.90
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.0800.170$0.85+$0.45
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? · Yes0.0900.037$0.74−$1.06
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.1700.135$0.54−$0.14
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · Yes0.0600.041$0.41−$0.20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00−$17.50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 12:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.115$14.89
09-06 12:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.118$11.25
09-06 12:29Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?SELL0.34$1.70
09-06 12:29Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$1.66
07-28 12:50Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?SELL0.305$3.05
06-10 15:52Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.375$9.38
06-10 15:46Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.375$18.75
06-10 15:16Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.375$9.38
06-10 15:15Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?SELL0.34$1.70
06-03 11:40Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.647$16.18
06-01 02:52Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?SELL0.52$5.19
05-31 02:38Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.598$14.95
05-31 02:27Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.557$5.57
05-31 02:22Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.462$4.62
05-31 02:22Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.44$4.40