0x1bb9f0421b263e3727aebd6894c36d306e6bf619
0x2ba69bde721522051631db175dc0fc764ebbe614
- Realised P&L
- $365.76
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $119.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.090 | $45.27 | +$2.21 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.145 | $40.05 | −$7.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.163 | $16.30 | −$7.85 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.114 | $12.48 | +$1.69 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.380 | $3.80 | +$0.70 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.038 | $0.77 | −$1.03 |
| Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $0.70 | +$0.02 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.035 | $0.34 | −$0.26 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.76at 0.061Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1?
- +$102.49at 0.261Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
- +$67.20at 0.155Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
- +$54.75at 0.060Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022?
- +$34.74at 0.040Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 12:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.115 | $14.89 |
| 09-06 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.118 | $11.25 |
| 09-06 12:29 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-06 12:29 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.66 |
| 07-28 12:50 | Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.305 | $3.05 |
| 06-10 15:52 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.375 | $9.38 |
| 06-10 15:46 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.375 | $18.75 |
| 06-10 15:16 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.375 | $9.38 |
| 06-10 15:15 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 06-03 11:40 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.647 | $16.18 |
| 06-01 02:52 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.19 |
| 05-31 02:38 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.598 | $14.95 |
| 05-31 02:27 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.557 | $5.57 |
| 05-31 02:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.462 | $4.62 |
| 05-31 02:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |