justgambleit
0x2b9f9a4ca347ca48de44cce7ec8661fa9ab66f68
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $299.2k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.473Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$630.07at 0.007Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$378.59at 0.240Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$194.03at 0.560Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$132.21at 0.540Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:45 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $95.41 |
| 11-01 19:45 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999994 | $82.51 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3309999996 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $489.58 |
| 11-01 19:13 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3309999996 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.12 | $600.00 |
| 11-01 16:49 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 16:22 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4369999961 | $33.92 |
| 10-29 15:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.53 | $94.87 |