PolyBot

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Traders

justgambleit

0x2b9f9a4ca347ca48de44cce7ec8661fa9ab66f68

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$299.2k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1200.115$670.83−$29.16
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.3310.331$250.00+$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.335$175.30−$2.62
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.585$151.29+$1.29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.475$145.41−$4.59
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.5100.515$98.97+$0.96
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.4370.001$0.04−$33.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$1.40
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$158.24
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$2.39
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:45Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3399999989$95.41
11-01 19:45Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.5$100.00
11-01 19:44Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3399999994$82.51
11-01 19:41Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5799999992$150.00
11-01 19:41Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$150.00
11-01 19:30Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
11-01 19:30Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3309999996$100.00
11-01 19:29Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.47$489.58
11-01 19:13Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
11-01 19:02Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3309999996$150.00
11-01 16:50Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
11-01 16:50Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.12$600.00
11-01 16:49Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4799999998$500.00
10-31 16:22Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4369999961$33.92
10-29 15:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.53$94.87