ettowers
0x2b9b0cda300ee93ba73bb58bbda14fdb19397feb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $21.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.35at 0.386Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
- +$178.07at 0.219Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
- +$152.80at 0.341Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$116.26at 0.695Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
- +$95.00at 0.240Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:52 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 06:51 | Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1649999948 | $4.00 |
| 11-02 06:50 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999778 | $6.00 |
| 11-02 06:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 03-22 19:16 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.553398047 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:14 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:07 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.9409999997 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:06 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 06:58 | Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 06:57 | Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 06:56 | Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 06:55 | Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5359999871 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 06:54 | Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 06:54 | Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 06:53 | Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |