bqlwtb
0x2b8bae3a523a5de305f6ed6ee47a6b7b69ba9d01
- Realised P&L
- $-120.27
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $58.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.44at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 31?
- +$27.08at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 31?
- +$26.72at 0.274Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 15?
- +$25.20at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?
- +$24.33at 0.293Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.66 |
| 09-30 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2799999977 | $9.65 |
| 09-30 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.3399999909 | $9.68 |
| 09-30 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.66 |
| 09-30 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.64 |
| 09-30 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2958954432 | $9.66 |
| 09-30 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3299999925 | $9.68 |
| 09-30 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $9.64 |
| 09-06 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.3799999875 | $9.70 |
| 09-06 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.4399999819 | $9.73 |
| 09-06 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.3599999851 | $9.69 |
| 09-06 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.4099999894 | $9.71 |
| 09-05 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.4199999775 | $9.72 |
| 09-05 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.66 |
| 09-04 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.2799999849 | $9.65 |