bqlwtb
0x2b8bae3a523a5de305f6ed6ee47a6b7b69ba9d01
- Realised P&L
- $-45.20
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $15.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.81at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 31?
- +$25.56at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?
- +$24.68at 0.283Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 1?
- +$23.99at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?
- +$21.98at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4355238829 | $9.73 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3001293394 | $9.73 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2416236725 | $9.73 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4199999871 | $9.73 |
| 08-03 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.73 |
| 08-03 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2984662577 | $9.73 |
| 08-02 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2713545678 | $9.73 |
| 08-02 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.73 |
| 08-02 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3993072655 | $9.73 |
| 08-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2399999852 | $9.73 |
| 08-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3322438829 | $9.73 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3068463708 | $9.73 |
| 07-31 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.90 |
| 07-31 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.73 |
| 07-31 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.2827354509 | $9.73 |