0x2B8000C254d490B372b98484Dae6fD97E2656e1f-1770843928502
0x2b8000c254d490b372b98484dae6fd97e2656e1f
- Realised P&L
- $-521.72
- Volume
- $85.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $20.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $20.94 | −$494.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.54 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Norway (-3.5) · Norway | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.447 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Spread: France (-4.5) · France | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.87at 0.393Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$10.68at 0.467Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$8.80at 0.215Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$8.79at 0.367Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$7.60at 0.113Spread: France (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:13 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $28.16 |
| 07-27 16:19 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0050921134 | $63.65 |
| 07-18 20:56 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.91 |
| 07-18 20:51 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 20:51 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 20:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 22:35 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1474999752 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 22:32 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0149396914 | $12.10 |
| 07-14 22:31 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 00:04 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1549999442 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 00:04 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1949999264 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 23:57 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0219592179 | $36.78 |
| 07-13 23:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0237789 | $9.51 |
| 07-13 23:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.024772 | $0.74 |
| 07-13 23:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0259784615 | $1.01 |