PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2B8000C254d490B372b98484Dae6fD97E2656e1f-1770843928502

0x2b8000c254d490b372b98484dae6fd97e2656e1f

Realised P&L
$-521.72
Volume
$85.9k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$20.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.001$20.94$494.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.3310.000$0.00$2.54
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.48
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.3400.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: Norway (-3.5) · Norway0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.70
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.1950.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.4470.000$0.00$1.26
Spread: France (-4.5) · France0.2000.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:13Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$28.16
07-27 16:19Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0050921134$63.65
07-18 20:56Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.019$5.91
07-18 20:51Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-18 20:51Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.3399999422$2.00
07-18 20:50France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.699999972$5.00
07-14 22:35Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.1474999752$5.00
07-14 22:32Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0149396914$12.10
07-14 22:31Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.014$12.00
07-14 00:04Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.1549999442$2.00
07-14 00:04Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.1949999264$2.00
07-13 23:57Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0219592179$36.78
07-13 23:55Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0237789$9.51
07-13 23:55Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.024772$0.74
07-13 23:55Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0259784615$1.01