luoz
0x2b7382bd6c2703d268a55bfa53315c8a07c61051
- Realised P&L
- $13.71
- Volume
- $299.01
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $7.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.30at 0.549Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?
- +$6.07at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?
- +$-12.66at 0.527Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5366680321 | $24.16 |
| 10-15 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-15 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5147717375 | $36.43 |
| 10-12 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.23 |