0x2b6bBe6cddf243D07a7441F7B9fE7dda63614079-1771855839041
0x2b6bbe6cddf243d07a7441f7b9fe7dda63614079
- Realised P&L
- $-3.19
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $16.93 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?
- +$0.08at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
- +$0.04at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.90 |
| 07-06 07:11 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.49 |
| 07-06 07:11 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.49 |
| 07-02 02:53 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.64 |
| 05-13 09:19 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 05-08 04:11 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.94 |
| 04-24 10:01 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-23 04:45 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-22 06:56 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.72 |
| 04-21 06:56 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-20 02:55 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 03-26 03:10 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.972 | $617.22 |
| 03-25 03:19 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.976 | $619.76 |
| 02-28 23:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.06 |