PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

domtheman

0x2b506e3f22e79ff458302f0e91b8f889d7474b87

Realised P&L
$-156.14
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
404
Open portfolio
$41.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded404
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 24? · Yes0.0760.130$8.47+$3.51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? · No0.6501.000$7.73+$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 24? · No0.6901.000$7.29+$2.26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? · No0.7000.860$6.11+$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 24? · No0.6300.720$5.67+$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24? · No0.6900.615$4.43−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24? · Yes0.1350.035$1.27−$3.66
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24? · No0.6700.003$0.02−$4.96
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 24? · Yes0.1300.001$0.02−$4.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24? · Yes0.1400.001$0.02−$4.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes0.1570.001$0.02−$4.94
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 24? · Yes0.1490.001$0.02−$4.60
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.1800.001$0.01−$5.02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 24? · Yes0.2060.001$0.01−$4.92
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24? · No0.5600.001$0.00−$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 01:38Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 24?BUY0.0761612284$4.96
09-24 01:07Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.6299999898$4.96
09-24 00:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?BUY0.1574634417$4.96
09-24 00:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24?BUY0.6899999667$4.97
09-23 22:29Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.7$4.97
09-23 22:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?BUY0.139999997$4.73
09-23 22:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.1353731458$4.93
09-23 21:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.6699999839$4.98
09-23 21:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 24?BUY0.2058250493$4.93
09-23 18:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.3599999769$4.99
09-23 18:02Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 24?BUY0.1302143508$4.99
09-23 17:32Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-23 17:32Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.75$5.00
09-23 17:32Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?BUY0.5816245685$5.00
09-23 16:21Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.309999987$5.01