PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2b4b79b49BA55E97024275c191eA0fc24A5136b3-1751670078903

0x2b4b79b49ba55e97024275c191ea0fc24a5136b3

Realised P&L
$14.38
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$134.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 16? · No0.7440.620$40.69−$8.11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 16? · No0.7930.835$33.40+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15? · No0.8890.845$15.65−$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15? · No0.6900.705$14.10+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15? · No0.7200.670$11.54−$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 16? · Yes0.3710.330$6.84−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15? · Yes0.2400.330$3.76+$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 16? · No0.7200.670$3.74−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? · Yes0.2680.145$2.50−$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15? · Yes0.0500.155$1.70+$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 15? · Yes0.0730.037$0.45−$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 16? · Yes0.0900.045$0.36−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16? · Yes0.0840.079$0.16−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 16? · Yes0.0200.009$0.11−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 18:01Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.9985555556$89.87
07-24 16:49Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.998$99.80
07-20 14:45Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?BUY0.998$24.95
07-20 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.98$99.00
07-19 02:58Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.995$99.50
07-17 18:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.98$98.00
07-17 07:19Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Arcade Esports (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group BBUY0.99$99.00
07-17 04:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.99$99.00
07-17 04:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.99$99.00
07-17 03:19Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?BUY0.9705387892$101.62
07-17 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.99$99.00
07-17 03:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.99$99.00
07-06 22:52Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.755$3.77