0x2b4b79b49BA55E97024275c191eA0fc24A5136b3-1751670078903
0x2b4b79b49ba55e97024275c191ea0fc24a5136b3
- Realised P&L
- $14.38
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $134.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.971Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
- +$2.00at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$2.00at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$2.00at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$1.88at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:01 | Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.9985555556 | $89.87 |
| 07-24 16:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-20 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 07-20 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $99.00 |
| 07-19 02:58 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 07-17 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 07-17 07:19 | Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Arcade Esports (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group B | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-17 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-17 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-17 03:19 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16? | BUY | 0.9705387892 | $101.62 |
| 07-17 03:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-17 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-06 22:52 | Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.755 | $3.77 |