PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2b45c3e56996416348141a748e49abcb8cc999ff

Realised P&L
$-3.53
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0010.001$3.15$3.14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.0020.004$1.21+$0.61
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · No0.0040.003$0.63$0.38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16? · No0.0040.003$0.63$0.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? · No0.0060.002$0.50$1.50
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0260.009$0.35$0.65
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0240.007$0.31$0.69
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.0020.001$0.25$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:41CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5BUY0.001$4.30
09-16 00:38Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?SELL0.004$0.36
09-16 00:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.002$0.39
09-16 00:29Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$1.00
09-16 00:27Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?BUY0.011$1.00
09-16 00:20Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
09-16 00:18Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.0239999998$1.00
09-16 00:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.9399999937$3.00
09-16 00:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16?BUY0.004$1.00
09-16 00:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?BUY0.004$1.00
09-16 00:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?BUY0.006$1.00
09-16 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 23:44CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 23:43CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 23:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.48$3.00