0x2b45c3e56996416348141a748e49abcb8cc999ff
- Realised P&L
- $-3.53
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.001 | $3.15 | −$3.14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.002 | 0.004 | $1.21 | +$0.61 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · No | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.63 | −$0.38 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16? · No | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.63 | −$0.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? · No | 0.006 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.009 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.007 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.601Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$3.02at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$2.77at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$1.54at 0.813Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$0.46at 0.873Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:41 | CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 00:38 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.36 |
| 09-16 00:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.39 |
| 09-16 00:29 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:27 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:20 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:44 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:43 | CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |