felipemeddeiros
0x2b43b06284e88a0ab5f7d28619db5ed0bc704758
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $907.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.916 | 0.979 | $907.88 | +$57.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.47at 0.758Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$274.13at 0.785Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$174.51at 0.931Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$97.77at 0.873Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$78.79at 0.961Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 22:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.61 | $572.80 |
| 07-04 20:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $770.00 |
| 07-04 03:33 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.999 | $777.81 |
| 07-04 02:54 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.87 | $677.38 |
| 07-03 23:47 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.34 | $672.09 |
| 07-03 15:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $1.7k |
| 07-02 21:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.9975 | $1.7k |
| 07-02 12:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7524999999 | $1.3k |
| 07-02 01:30 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.3k |
| 07-01 22:36 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.3k |
| 07-01 21:51 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.098 | $159.94 |
| 07-01 21:37 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.94 | $1000.00 |
| 07-01 21:20 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-01 18:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 07-01 17:55 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.0k |