tianwaixuantie
0x2b41e32019ccf0a88349cc8012ac45e21b92b687
- Realised P&L
- $-27.52
- Volume
- $44.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $85.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.011 | $85.65 | −$48.24 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Magic (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division · Magic | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.023Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$8.63at 0.991Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.41at 0.992Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$5.44at 0.989Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$3.35at 0.998World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 23:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-21 22:59 | Will Solana dip to $20 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 08-11 19:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.62 |
| 07-31 18:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $500.06 |
| 07-27 22:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $280.42 |
| 07-27 22:28 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $338.66 |
| 07-27 22:27 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 07-07 19:36 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.1k |
| 07-04 23:26 | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.992 | $939.81 |
| 07-04 23:25 | Will Egypt be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9894999687 | $158.31 |
| 07-04 19:38 | Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.997 | $537.38 |
| 07-03 19:03 | Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.989 | $302.13 |
| 07-03 19:02 | Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.988 | $230.20 |
| 07-03 19:01 | Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.995 | $557.20 |
| 06-29 20:52 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |