0x2b4184b847873dfB2E3cE6Aa757e46Cb6B086d73-1764561106869
0x2b4184b847873dfb2e3ce6aa757e46cb6b086d73
- Realised P&L
- $-573.62
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $137.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.120 | $46.15 | −$3.85 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.555 | $27.37 | −$1.23 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.015 | $24.73 | −$25.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 1.000 | $24.72 | +$9.89 |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.110 | $14.46 | −$2.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up | 0.461 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.472 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.04at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$79.07at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$56.31at 0.490Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
- +$55.95at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$47.26at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999919 | $14.83 |
| 10-08 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $86.11 |
| 10-08 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999964 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5089820314 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.579999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 20:15 | Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 23:48 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.579999998 | $28.60 |
| 10-07 23:48 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1316304342 | $17.30 |
| 10-07 23:43 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0293224176 | $50.00 |