0x2b4005c315b2062ddecd4b843cf927319bd62cf9
0x2b4005c315b2062ddecd4b843cf927319bd62cf9
- Realised P&L
- $266.65
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $96.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 1.000 | $96.11 | +$71.11 |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$62.78 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$74.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.98at 0.184Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$39.60at 0.698Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$38.01at 0.396AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?
- +$36.32at 0.407Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: Draw at halftime?
- +$-5.40at 0.195Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 17:41 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 16:25 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 14:34 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $18.00 |
| 10-15 14:30 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 14:27 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 14:24 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 02:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 01:41 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $151.36 |
| 10-14 22:35 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 21:04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $293.82 |
| 10-14 20:48 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 20:28 | Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 20:26 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.027 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 19:54 | AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.49 |
| 10-14 18:46 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |