0x2B3dB094a910A1b8918f639342E63F23ae61Be34-1763626387539
0x2b3db094a910a1b8918f639342e63f23ae61be34
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $121.2k
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $57.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.407Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$969.97at 0.191Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?
- +$752.70at 0.285Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$424.37at 0.519Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?
- +$338.26at 0.600Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:04 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $16.79 |
| 11-01 21:44 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.5546010531 | $13.69 |
| 11-01 16:03 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 14:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 11-01 13:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.2271428571 | $3.18 |
| 11-01 12:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.5528571429 | $7.74 |
| 11-01 11:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.48 | $8.16 |
| 11-01 10:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.14 |
| 11-01 10:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0492259646 | $7.63 |
| 10-24 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.3468027211 | $2.55 |
| 10-24 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 16:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 141.5 and 143 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $78.92 |