PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

crckr

0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7

Realised P&L
$144.8k
Volume
$5.85M
Markets traded
3,369
Open portfolio
$13.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,369
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0890.410$688.70+$538.99
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.2630.800$661.42+$443.95
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0290.245$359.95+$316.74
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0290.221$330.61+$286.62
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.2930.275$320.78$21.49
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.3360.385$294.57+$37.84
Will Logan McNaney win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? · Yes0.0290.385$285.59+$263.92
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.3220.580$285.06+$126.57
Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0470.198$245.80+$187.44
Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0220.369$179.20+$168.72
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.085$169.19+$146.82
Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.1140.133$165.09+$23.75
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0690.170$161.93+$95.99
Will Craig Counsell win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0440.118$147.39+$91.93
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? · Yes0.2770.275$136.70$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:53Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.009440423$1.61
08-03 04:52Will Hugo Cuypers win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.0111286722$1.89
08-03 04:51Will Djordje Mihailovic win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.0056456272$0.42
08-03 04:51Will Cheikh Sabaly win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.0041266417$0.35
08-03 04:46Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.8888813161$151.29
08-03 03:52Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.39$217.08
08-03 03:30Will Kiah Stokes have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?BUY0.07$15.40
08-03 00:22Will Acorn + Boltz win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralBUY0.8460240964$21.07
08-03 00:09Will Hcube + vleccks win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralSELL0.003$0.06
08-03 00:09Will Higgs + Curve win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralSELL0.01$0.59
08-03 00:08Will MaxGGs + SM1LY win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralSELL0.005$0.10
08-03 00:07Will skqttles + Kxyin win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralSELL0.001$0.02
08-03 00:07Will Moneymaker + Fnajen win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA CentralSELL0.001$0.02
08-02 10:58Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?BUY0.19$35.72
08-02 10:49Will Josh Jung lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?SELL0.0216500956$1.13