crckr
0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7
- Realised P&L
- $144.8k
- Volume
- $5.85M
- Markets traded
- 3,369
- Open portfolio
- $13.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,369
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.083Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.4kat 0.520Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?
- +$2.2kat 0.204Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will Biden say "Hunter" at DNC speech?
- +$1.6kat 0.063Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:53 | Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.009440423 | $1.61 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Will Hugo Cuypers win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.0111286722 | $1.89 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will Djordje Mihailovic win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.0056456272 | $0.42 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will Cheikh Sabaly win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.0041266417 | $0.35 |
| 08-03 04:46 | Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.8888813161 | $151.29 |
| 08-03 03:52 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.39 | $217.08 |
| 08-03 03:30 | Will Kiah Stokes have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.07 | $15.40 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Will Acorn + Boltz win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | BUY | 0.8460240964 | $21.07 |
| 08-03 00:09 | Will Hcube + vleccks win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 00:09 | Will Higgs + Curve win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | SELL | 0.01 | $0.59 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will MaxGGs + SM1LY win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 00:07 | Will skqttles + Kxyin win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 00:07 | Will Moneymaker + Fnajen win FNCS 2026 Major 2 NA Central | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 10:58 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.19 | $35.72 |
| 08-02 10:49 | Will Josh Jung lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.0216500956 | $1.13 |