Sequitur-3
0x2b3c56b0184457702521a49c3f75ccba16fce9aa
- Realised P&L
- $0.91
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $7.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.13at 0.206Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$5.16at 0.031Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?
- +$4.27at 0.196Will Amazon say "Middle East" during earnings call?
- +$3.54at 0.298Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?
- +$2.98at 0.409Will Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:39 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.01 |
| 11-01 13:34 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.47 |
| 11-01 13:26 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.086 | $0.58 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.03 |
| 11-01 11:58 | Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.86 |
| 11-01 11:56 | Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 10-24 19:08 | Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.38 |
| 10-24 19:08 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.109 | $1.01 |
| 10-24 19:06 | Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.01 |
| 10-24 19:04 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.63 |
| 10-24 19:04 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.03 |
| 10-24 19:02 | Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.101 | $1.04 |
| 10-22 17:05 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.32 |