PolyBot

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Traders

Sequitur-3

0x2b3c56b0184457702521a49c3f75ccba16fce9aa

Realised P&L
$0.91
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$7.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0400.088$2.65+$1.45
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0290.024$2.17−$0.47
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0120.016$1.14+$0.29
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1090.058$0.53−$0.48
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0530.021$0.39−$0.62
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1600.150$0.21−$0.01
Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1010.013$0.13−$0.91
Will Amazon say "Prime Day" during earnings call? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Target say "Revenue" during earnings call? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.26
Will Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$2.62
Will Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.64
Will Klarna say "Apple Pay" during earnings call? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.47
Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.82
Will Amazon say "America" during earnings call? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:39Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31?BUY0.053$1.01
11-01 13:34Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?SELL0.07$0.47
11-01 13:26Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31?SELL0.009$0.05
11-01 12:07Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?BUY0.086$0.58
11-01 11:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31?BUY0.01$0.05
11-01 11:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?BUY0.16$1.03
11-01 11:58Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31?BUY0.012$0.86
11-01 11:56Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?BUY0.04$1.20
10-24 19:08Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31?SELL0.011$0.38
10-24 19:08Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?BUY0.109$1.01
10-24 19:06Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31?BUY0.029$1.01
10-24 19:04Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?BUY0.03$0.63
10-24 19:04Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?BUY0.029$0.03
10-24 19:02Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31?BUY0.101$1.04
10-22 17:05Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?SELL0.06$0.32