Fionnbharra
0x2b3438c4d84b6f876360cee2bc019015d4060bbd
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.445 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega · XLG Gaming | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.22 |
| Will PSIS Semarang win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers · Timberwolves | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.08 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) · Spurs | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.91at 0.470Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?
- +$4.49at 0.610Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?
- +$3.18at 0.691Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09?
- +$2.64at 0.728Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?
- +$2.32at 0.797Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:45 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 07:44 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Will PSIS Semarang win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999877 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.90 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.4599999739 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 08:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September? | BUY | 0.789999986 | $9.00 |
| 07-20 13:18 | Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.5099999955 | $18.00 |
| 06-07 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 08:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9889999948 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 20:22 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.89 |
| 03-30 14:21 | Spread: Spurs (-18.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $14.78 |
| 03-11 12:12 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.4699999424 | $4.08 |
| 03-11 12:12 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.84 | $4.00 |