Fionnbharra
0x2b3438c4d84b6f876360cee2bc019015d4060bbd
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $29.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September? · No | 0.790 | 0.745 | $8.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? · No | 0.720 | 0.750 | $7.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No | 0.460 | 0.520 | $6.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? · No | 0.600 | 0.575 | $6.61 | −$0.29 |
| Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega · XLG Gaming | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.17 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers · Timberwolves | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.08 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) · Spurs | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.840Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$0.35at 0.983Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.989Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
- +$0.05at 0.951Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$0.05at 0.976Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999877 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.90 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.4599999739 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 08:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September? | BUY | 0.789999986 | $9.00 |
| 07-20 13:18 | Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.5099999955 | $18.00 |
| 06-07 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 08:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9889999948 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 20:22 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.89 |
| 03-30 14:21 | Spread: Spurs (-18.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $14.78 |
| 03-11 12:12 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.4699999424 | $4.08 |
| 03-11 12:12 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.84 | $4.00 |
| 02-11 18:05 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | BUY | 0.995 | $8.04 |
| 01-15 12:41 | Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 12-26 17:28 | Spread: Clippers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $5.0k |
| 11-29 07:56 | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |