caseyn6
0x2b30ba4ec02c695beebe9800aa32bd374cdf6c12
- Realised P&L
- $575.77
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$505.62at 0.572Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$58.55at 0.870Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$44.93at 0.690Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$36.29at 0.896Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$34.71at 0.949Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 04:19 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 04:17 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.1464843743 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 03:19 | Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.6217684517 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 23:57 | Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.6187401288 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 04:14 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8251295107 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 20:34 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 10:30 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3500515332 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 00:09 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.55 | $41.67 |
| 10-22 00:07 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.55 | $41.67 |
| 10-15 08:53 | Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | BUY | 0.0869066449 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 01:24 | Will Xolani Khumalo be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | BUY | 0.7789776613 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 04:42 | Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.2429202555 | $35.37 |
| 10-05 02:53 | Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.2282343877 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 02:47 | Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.6575938381 | $60.62 |
| 10-05 02:30 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |