Bigdboss
0x2b2d83b0b28cda63430b2a34c05900e1b87646c2
- Realised P&L
- $-13.0k
- Volume
- $342.0k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $465.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $408.73 | −$675.29 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.080 | $57.14 | +$7.14 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.18at 0.770Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$237.82at 0.656Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$210.00at 0.790Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$123.84at 0.677US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$66.66at 0.180Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:41 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.10 |
| 09-05 12:39 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 12:39 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0188239103 | $200.00 |
| 06-23 13:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.197 | $19.70 |
| 06-23 13:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.8k |
| 04-06 15:38 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $387.21 |
| 04-02 01:13 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 01:12 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.53 | $189.28 |
| 04-02 00:59 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $63.38 |
| 04-02 00:59 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 00:59 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 02-10 21:07 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999994 | $500.00 |
| 12-23 13:09 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BUY | 0.0673266707 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.78 |