0x2b28858E12B34a8d5E1edC3eaddF3ac7615e3Aaa-1791902317980
0x2b28858e12b34a8d5e1edc3eaddf3ac7615e3aaa
- Realised P&L
- $-4.20
- Volume
- $553.49
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $4.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.525 | $4.20 | +$0.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.159Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?
- +$0.13at 0.091Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?
- +$0.08at 0.925Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 22:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.1063333333 | $1.59 |
| 10-15 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 13:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 10-15 13:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |