0x2B2729F7bFE848f31d22BCbd1916D13fb2a4ff88-1769780454058
0x2b2729f7bfe848f31d22bcbd1916d13fb2a4ff88
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $89.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,720
- Open portfolio
- $39.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,720
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.80at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 1?
- +$28.38at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$23.08at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?
- +$17.29at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$16.74at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.25 |
| 08-20 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 20? | SELL | 0.7375414781 | $14.67 |
| 08-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-19 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.5825 | $11.65 |
| 08-19 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-19 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-19 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.523 | $10.46 |
| 08-18 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.53 |
| 08-18 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $6.93 |
| 08-18 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.05 |
| 08-18 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.07 |
| 08-18 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.43 | $10.79 |
| 08-18 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.35 |
| 08-18 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.93 |
| 08-18 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.13 |