retapo
0x2b25e8ec7b1b812a0ab1d0c2b9a8d0ac6f1c84e9
- Realised P&L
- $-69.61
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $10.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.190 | $9.50 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.155 | $0.19 | −$0.02 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.140 | 0.135 | $0.16 | −$0.01 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.105 | $0.16 | +$0.01 |
| Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.005 | $0.10 | −$2.70 |
| Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027? · No | 0.090 | 0.053 | $0.07 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.120Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.572Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.03at 0.115Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
- +$0.00at 0.240Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase?
- +$0.00at 0.100Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:47 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-30 15:37 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.083 | $4.15 |
| 10-30 14:51 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft? | SELL | 0.0838 | $4.19 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.174 | $8.70 |
| 10-30 03:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-28 10:50 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.60 |
| 10-27 16:00 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.218 | $10.90 |
| 10-26 20:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.154 | $7.70 |
| 10-26 18:13 | Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027? | SELL | 0.072 | $1.44 |
| 10-26 14:20 | Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.76 |
| 10-26 11:21 | Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 10-26 06:36 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 10-26 04:21 | Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 05:00 | Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-18 03:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.108 | $5.40 |