dzimbastic
0x2b1f4e1ddf33cf7cf230d0ced91ef68fe42b32be
- Realised P&L
- $-5.49
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $0.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.007 | $0.09 | −$4.91 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.83at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$3.16at 0.332Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$2.66at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$2.52at 0.667Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$2.33at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:31 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.393 | $24.28 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 09:01 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3779999779 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 08:59 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3088464495 | $15.00 |
| 07-02 13:30 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.07 |
| 06-28 06:11 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.3845394943 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 06:05 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 06:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2179999737 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 06:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.77 |
| 06-23 04:01 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 18:15 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 04:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $7.32 |
| 06-14 12:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 12:48 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |