55553
0x2b1f3f8c894d23acbd4ad60df4af2e21c17dad33
- Realised P&L
- $-156.93
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $116.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.992 | $116.06 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.67at 0.975Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$1.05at 0.950Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
- +$0.96at 0.969Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
- +$0.94at 0.992Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?
- +$0.91at 0.991Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-09 06:52 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.00 |
| 11-05 01:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9939999972 | $100.00 |
| 11-05 01:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 18:54 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9749999959 | $65.10 |
| 09-25 18:54 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 September 22-28? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.00 |
| 07-13 05:12 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.9689999991 | $30.00 |
| 07-13 05:11 | Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 05:10 | Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 17:07 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | BUY | 0.965 | $10.0k |
| 06-08 18:31 | Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.53 |
| 06-01 14:45 | Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.60 |
| 06-01 14:44 | Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.80 |
| 05-13 16:57 | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.76 |
| 05-07 15:11 | Will there not be a new Pope in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.54 |
| 04-25 10:44 | Will Solana reach $250 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.12 |