PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2b15fE72FbD75eFE2A13302b7A865a266F289cD1-1785570829393

0x2b15fe72fbd75efe2a13302b7a865a266f289cd1

Realised P&L
$-71.79
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$20.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.5501.000$20.32+$9.14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 23? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 03:31Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.55$11.18
09-28 04:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.6$3.00
09-28 04:05Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.62$3.26
09-26 03:36Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.68$3.40
09-18 04:49Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?SELL0.3071148459$2.19
09-18 04:21Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.58$4.14
09-17 01:36Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.54$5.40
09-11 05:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 11?BUY0.7352579365$7.41
09-11 05:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?BUY0.57$5.70
09-11 04:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?SELL0.16$1.60
09-10 06:58Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 10?SELL0.62$3.10
09-10 03:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?SELL0.01$0.20
09-09 04:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 9?BUY0.1$2.00
09-08 06:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.569999958$4.89
09-08 02:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?SELL0.15$1.50