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0x2b15fE72FbD75eFE2A13302b7A865a266F289cD1-1785570829393

0x2b15fe72fbd75efe2a13302b7a865a266f289cd1

Realised P&L
$-23.10
Volume
$675.21
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$0.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8? · Yes0.0170.001$0.15$4.85
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? · Yes0.6750.001$0.01$9.99
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 2? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.09
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 08:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 9?SELL0.03$0.76
08-08 08:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9?SELL0.01$0.22
08-08 07:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8?BUY0.6746031714$10.00
08-08 05:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8?SELL0.002$0.13
08-07 06:27Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 9?BUY0.0792079208$2.00
08-07 06:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9?BUY0.0445944673$1.00
08-07 06:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?SELL0.87$6.96
08-06 16:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.02$0.52
08-06 16:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8?BUY0.0167502785$5.00
08-05 19:46Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.27$2.16
08-05 19:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.18$2.42
08-05 19:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.18$2.70
08-05 10:56Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.1451612379$2.10
08-05 10:40Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.13$1.82
08-03 18:23Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.04$0.57