0x2b15fE72FbD75eFE2A13302b7A865a266F289cD1-1785570829393
0x2b15fe72fbd75efe2a13302b7a865a266f289cd1
- Realised P&L
- $-23.10
- Volume
- $675.21
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$4.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.09 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?
- +$1.20at 0.138Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?
- +$-0.78at 0.045Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9?
- +$-1.21at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8?
- +$-1.24at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.76 |
| 08-08 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.22 |
| 08-08 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6746031714 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 08-07 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0792079208 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9? | BUY | 0.0445944673 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.96 |
| 08-06 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.52 |
| 08-06 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.0167502785 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 08-05 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.42 |
| 08-05 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 08-05 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1451612379 | $2.10 |
| 08-05 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.82 |
| 08-03 18:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.57 |