0x2b15fE72FbD75eFE2A13302b7A865a266F289cD1-1785570829393
0x2b15fe72fbd75efe2a13302b7a865a266f289cd1
- Realised P&L
- $-71.79
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $20.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $20.32 | +$9.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 23? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.36at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?
- +$14.60at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 8?
- +$10.14at 0.517Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?
- +$7.80at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?
- +$5.76at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.18 |
| 09-28 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.26 |
| 09-26 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.3071148459 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.14 |
| 09-17 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-11 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.7352579365 | $7.41 |
| 09-11 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-11 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-10 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-10 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-09 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.569999958 | $4.89 |
| 09-08 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |