0x2b10bbdfa946d43633f8245fab5a563aab1cf8cf
0x2b10bbdfa946d43633f8245fab5a563aab1cf8cf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.17
- Volume
- $183.69
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $4.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.920 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.760 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.895 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:26 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:25 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:23 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:34 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:28 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:04 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:42 | Will BlackBerry say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:36 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |