skibby
0x2b109e123d269ee6115cab300f752d139781fceb
- Realised P&L
- $636.47
- Volume
- $115.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $990.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.400 | $989.73 | −$767.04 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.27 | −$6.21 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.33 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Red Sox vs. Cubs · Red Sox | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.32 |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$301.00 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? · No | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$351.29 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.30 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.688Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
- +$1.4kat 0.419Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$710.00at 0.290Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$452.83at 0.539Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
- +$407.03at 0.874Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $131.52 |
| 02-21 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8062750084 | $108.66 |
| 01-06 11:01 | Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.11 | $99.00 |
| 10-08 11:53 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:57 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:38 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:23 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:00 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:50 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:30 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:17 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:06 | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 12:37 | Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.5909998901 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:33 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:39 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |