PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skibby

0x2b109e123d269ee6115cab300f752d139781fceb

Realised P&L
$636.47
Volume
$115.9k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$990.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.7100.400$989.73$767.04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.001$0.27$6.21
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$390.00
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.33
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23? · No0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Red Sox vs. Cubs · Red Sox0.0300.000$0.00$4.32
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$301.00
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? · No0.2310.000$0.00$351.29
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$53.30
Doge ETF approved in 2025? · No0.2200.000$0.00$151.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-21 20:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.97$131.52
02-21 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.8062750084$108.66
01-06 11:01Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de ZandschulpSELL0.11$99.00
10-08 11:53Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.63$1.00
10-07 14:57Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 14:38Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 14:23Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 14:00Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 13:50Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 13:30Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 13:17Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 13:06Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.1899998784$1.00
10-07 12:37Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?BUY0.5909998901$1.00
10-07 09:33Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-07 08:39Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.6$1.00