PolyBot

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Traders

lukzx

0x2b0f3a50a682053fd8ae77173813b6c984caf799

Realised P&L
$-48.59
Volume
$29.9k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$58.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7500.865$17.30+$2.30
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6000.655$10.92+$0.92
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8200.825$5.03+$0.03
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4350.404$4.64−$0.36
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0000.145$4.53+$4.53
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6600.575$4.36−$0.64
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5000.200$4.00−$6.00
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0550.028$2.51−$2.49
Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1600.045$1.41−$3.59
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0290.008$1.36−$3.64
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1800.040$1.11−$3.89
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0520.049$0.93−$0.07
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0290.001$0.09−$4.91
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1900.003$0.07−$4.93
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1330.002$0.06−$4.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:02Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-10 13:01Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.659999963$5.00
10-09 08:15Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4349999952$5.00
09-25 10:57Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.4$8.00
09-16 09:14Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.1949999973$5.00
09-04 12:42Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0294678057$5.00
09-01 09:22Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.02$5.00
08-24 09:18Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$5.00
08-12 16:38Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6$10.00
08-07 09:21Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$5.00
08-03 09:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.001$2.00
08-02 20:18Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.313$9.78
08-02 20:15Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.8$19.04
08-01 18:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
08-01 10:57Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.59$10.17