lukzx
0x2b0f3a50a682053fd8ae77173813b6c984caf799
- Realised P&L
- $-48.59
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $58.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.98at 0.172Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$84.73at 0.202Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$41.63at 0.709Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
- +$23.79at 0.746Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$21.06at 0.572Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:02 | Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 13:01 | Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 08:15 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4349999952 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 10:57 | Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 09:14 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.1949999973 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 12:42 | Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0294678057 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:22 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 09:18 | Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 16:38 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 09:21 | Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 09:16 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:18 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.313 | $9.78 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.8 | $19.04 |
| 08-01 18:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 10:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $10.17 |