0x2B0A565b3f33bE84916A97cdA129cB0163D7F25D-1780131239704
0x2b0a565b3f33be84916a97cda129cb0163d7f25d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.97
- Volume
- $630.31
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jones · Francesca Jones | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Simona Waltert | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.64at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.42at 0.167Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic
- +$4.61at 0.686Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$3.92at 0.225Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
- +$3.73at 0.706Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:27 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4851485124 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:05 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 19:02 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 14:16 | Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:14 | Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 19:35 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:16 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | SELL | 0.5 | $2.33 |
| 08-01 16:05 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:04 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:34 | Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jones | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:32 | Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jones | SELL | 0.63 | $6.91 |
| 08-01 14:08 | Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jones | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:01 | Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jones | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 12:47 | Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Bueno | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 21:33 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |