potro
0x2affb40d5228558ce1c35a832687b8c46e22411f
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.798 | $9.2k | +$2.6k |
| Spurs vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Heat vs. Knicks · Heat | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.256Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.0kat 0.293Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$316.25at 0.240Steelers vs. Lions
- +$212.19at 0.320Bulls vs. Hawks
- +$-45.47at 0.522European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:59 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $535.91 |
| 10-18 16:45 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon | BUY | 0.509999999 | $194.93 |
| 10-18 16:45 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 16:44 | European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 01:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.595 | $583.00 |
| 10-01 17:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.286 | $200.20 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.284 | $203.16 |
| 09-29 16:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.599 | $167.57 |
| 09-29 15:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $690.80 |
| 09-29 15:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $600.00 |
| 09-28 19:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.581 | $1.5k |
| 09-28 19:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $44.34 |
| 09-28 15:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.1k |
| 09-27 22:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.579 | $843.79 |
| 09-17 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.58 |