2026wqojbk
0x2afd9fdbead60f4a772328dffaf3955abe34b9cd
- Realised P&L
- $3.05
- Volume
- $292.00
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $41.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.360 | 0.500 | $6.94 | +$1.94 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.570 | 0.585 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.805 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No | 0.680 | 0.675 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.530 | 0.525 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.910 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.73at 0.371Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
- +$8.00at 0.392New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$4.88at 0.512Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
- +$2.33at 0.422M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime
- +$0.78at 0.866Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:09 | DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:10 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 18:47 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:43 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:31 | M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime | SELL | 0.62 | $3.74 |
| 09-17 11:30 | M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime | SELL | 0.62 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 11:30 | M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime | SELL | 0.63 | $3.80 |
| 09-17 11:12 | M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:10 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |