dgdgnb
0x2afcaacbb6c09c8df10da723462de9151c440807
- Realised P&L
- $-249.53
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $436.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $237.17 | −$0.36 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $199.30 | −$0.10 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · KT Rolster | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$361.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.41at 0.986Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$13.09at 0.983Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
- +$8.80at 0.972Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?
- +$8.11at 0.971EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$7.30at 0.986Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 23 above $385?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 10-10 03:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $237.52 |
| 09-12 00:08 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $211.79 |
| 09-07 07:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.80 |
| 09-04 05:31 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.88 |
| 09-04 05:30 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.86 |
| 09-04 05:27 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $196.80 |
| 09-03 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $416.00 |
| 09-02 11:50 | Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.99887415 | $227.00 |
| 08-24 09:23 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 08-22 08:19 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $146.26 |
| 08-17 11:19 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 08-17 11:18 | Will Solana dip to $10 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-14 07:21 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 10 above $255? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.66 |
| 08-14 07:21 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $126.40 |